Joel M. Skousen
World Affairs Brief
December 11, 2009
The swine flu
scare is turning out to be just as "bad" as Global Warming--far less severe than predicted. Even the establishment rag USA TODAY had to admit as much, though the data they trotted out was still grossly distorted. "A team of researchers from the USA and Britain on Monday dramatically scaled back estimates of the severity of the swine flu epidemic. The analysis suggests that the death rate from the current wave of H1N1 flu cases probably will fall in a range that extends from far lower to slightly higher than the estimate of 36,000 deaths caused by seasonal flu in a typical year.""Lead author Marc Lipsitch of the Harvard School of Public Health says that 'At the low end, the estimates suggest that for every 10% of the population to develop flu symptoms, there will be 1,500 to 2,700 deaths, 6,600 to 11,000 people in intensive care, and 36,000 to 78,000 hospitalizations. At the high end, for the same percentage of the population, swine flu could cause 7,800 to 29,000 deaths, 40,000 to 140,000 people needing intensive care, and 250,000 to 790,000 hospitalizations [still way too high an estimate]. The calculations represent a marked reduction from an August report by the President's Council of Advisors on Science and Technology. That report proposed a 'plausible' death toll that could fall anywhere between 30,000 and 90,000. Lipsitch, who worked on the August report, says the earlier estimate was based on 'limited data.'" Nonsense. It was fudged data, and now these establishment hacks are having to cover for their manipulations by downplaying the swine flu non-event we are experiencing.
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